Another week and another batch of upsets. Staying away from double digit favourites has been the way to go so far this season, but something's got to give. This might be the week that the oddsmakers have finally figured out who's good and who's not.
Is there any one team that is head and shoulders above the rest? Definitely not!
I was not shocked at all to see the Giants fall to the Browns last week. As soon as I began to hear ridiculous comments about Eli Manning being better than Peyton, I knew the Giants were destined to lose on Monday Night.
Eli looked like the "Jeckyl and Hyde" quarterback that he really is on MNF and I don't think you'll be hearing comparisons to Peyton again anytime soon.
Peyton Manning and the Colts are beginning to look like legit contenders in the AFC after being considered finished by many just a few weeks ago.
The first few weeks of football has proven one major point: look at the big picture. Just because the Colts shredded the Ravens last week does not mean they can't be shredded by the Packers.
That being said, the Packers are still decimated by injuries to their defence and their secondary will be without Atari Bigby and Al Harris on Sunday. Indy's offence is feeling good and they shouldn't have a letdown at Lambeau.
Take Indy -2
Baltimore at Miami -3
Chad Pennington should be able to take advantage of a worn out defence that is missing some key players in their secondary in Miami this weekend.
Take Miami -3
Dallas -7 at St. Louis
Whether it's Romo or Johnson, the Cowboys should take care of the Rams.
Take Dallas -7
Minnesota at Chicago -3.5
Memo to Lovie Smith: Unleash the Kyle Orton air show! The Bears can pass and lost last week because they were too conservative against the Falcons. A bonehead decision by the Bears to do a short kick gave Atlanta the field position they needed to kick a late field goal and win the game. The Bears need to win and have the better quarterback.
Take Chicago -3.5
New Orleans at Carolina -3
The answer to handicapping the NFC South has been to take the home team so far this season, but trends are made to be broken. The Saints are heating up. Drew Brees is on fire and finally should have some decent weapons with Colston and Shockey returning this Sunday. Look for the Saints to take advantage of a vulnerable Panthers secondary.
Take New Orleans +3
Pittsburgh -9.5 at Cincinnati
I don't see the Bengals making this a game without Carson Palmer. Pittsburgh should be ready to play coming off of their bye.
Take Pittsburgh -9.5
San Diego at Buffalo pick'em
The Bills are missing CB Terrence McGee and that could hurt them in this game. The Chargers looked great against the Patriots, but does that really mean anything?
Take Buffalo pick'em
San Francisco at New York Giants -10.5
The 49ers are not a very "live" dog here, especially after the Giants were embarassed on MNF.
Take New York -10.5
Tennessee -9 at Kansas City
The Titans are the league's only undefeated team. They might take a breather here, but should still win the game.
Take KC +9
Detroit at Houston -9.5
I cannot bet on Houston to win by 10 points.
Take Detroit +9.5
Cleveland at Washington -7.5
Are the Redskins really that much better than the Browns?? I'd take Cleveland's offence over Washington's any day. That's enough of a reason for me to take more than a touchdown here.
Take Cleveland +7.5
New York Jets -3.5 at Oakland
Here's your live dog of the week! Favre will turn the ball over four times and the Raiders will win big over the Jets in this week's major upset.
Take Oakland +3.5 and sprinkle the moneyline
Seattle at Tampa Bay -10.5
Jeff Garcia's still got it and he's a man on a mission right now. The Bucs have a killer defence and the Seahawks have nothing going for them.
Take Tampa Bay -10.5
Denver at New England -3
WHAT?! The Patriots are favourites? One of the best passing attacks in the league going up against possibly the worst secondary. Matt Cassel is absolutely terrible and the Patriots are absolutely terrible! Bill Belichick is not God. This team is too bad for even Belichick to coach to a winning record. Make your money here.
Take Denver +3
Best Bets:
Denver +3, Indy -2, Oakland +3.5, Cleveland +7.5, Pitt -9.5, Chicago -3.5, New Orleans +3, Miami -3
Saturday, October 18, 2008
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